Russia Vs. Ukraine Explained

 

President Putin of Russia has recently announced that his nation is going to recognize the independence of two breakaway republics Lugansk and Donetsk which are part of Ukraine.  Russia has given several historical and other reasons to justify its claims on this territory.

 

The NATO the Americans are pushing back they are very unhappy about it but there's nothing it looks like they can do right now to stop this from happening.

 

Russia chose a specific time because the Winter Olympics were taking place in Beijing, China, and the entire world was watching. The Chinese are putting pressure on Taiwan as well. We're aware that their incursions have been increasing in recent months. It appears that there has been a coordinated effort, a double pincer maneuver, a two-front war threat, similar to what we in India experience on a regular basis.

 

 History of why this conflict happened

 

Following the 1917 Russian revolution, bold civics such as Lenin, Stalin came to power, and the USSR began to take shape. For administrative purposes, many so-called Soviet republics were organized in a variety of ways.

 

Ukraine was an administrative division within the USSR and the constitution of the USSR was such that, each soviet socialist republic within the USSR was like a nation on its own. They had the right to succeed but, under somebody like Stalin, even the dream of seceding out of the USSR could not occur.  so, it was a very centralized state. The situation went on until the dissolution of the USSR. What happened was that Russia had powerful leaders in the past, such as Stalin, and that afterward, like with any empire, every large state, when you have weaker leadership, cracks emerge.

 

The subsequent Soviet leadership was not very good at managing the economy. The nation became decrepit and so on in the 1980s cracks began to be very visible, the economy was in disarray, while the west was doing very well.  In 1989-91 in that period the USSR disintegrated, and the leadership was so weak that all these republics declared independence one of them was Ukraine.

 

 

Ukraine became independent and the deal was that whatever foreign debt external debt the USSR owed to other countries Russia would take care of that but in exchange for all these breakouts’ republics they would hand over all the USSR national assets to Russia including nuclear weapons right. Ukraine became one of these independent republics independent nations they handed over the nuclear warhead’s weapons

 

In 2013-2014 there was a Euro Maidan revolution that happened in Ukraine the elected President, who was deposed was forcibly removed  and a pro-EU pro-NATO government was installed. Vladimir Putin sees this as a coup and a former actor and comedian Volodymyr Zelenskyy became the president of Ukraine so, this happened sometime in February 2014 and immediately by the end of February 2014 what we see is that there is this emergence of pro-Russian unrest in Ukraine.  

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

 

In March 2014 Crimea was annexed by Mr. Putin it which was traditionally a Russian territory and then there is this war in this region it’s called the Donbas region.

 

In September 2014 the first Minsk agreement was signed between Russians Ukrainians and some other mediators. It was a 12-point peace plan but, was totally collapsed by early 2015. Then in February, they started the whole thing again and a 13-point second Minsk agreement was signed, and it has never been implemented.  Because the last two points about the special status that should be given to Donbas it is interpreted in different ways by both sides. Now what happened is in 2021 there was an escalation of this fighting and that's continued until right now until 2022.

 

In December last year, the president of Belarus essentially told Russia that he was willing to accommodate nuclear weapons again on Belarusian territory.

 

 

 The constitution of Belarus was very subtly amended which essentially says that Belarus is no longer bound by New York by the principle of neutrality. What we can interpret this to be is that Belarus is now technically or de facto annexed by Russia. It is now essentially part of the Russian orbit so Belarus is now Russian, Crimea is Russian, Donbas is Russian and the Russians are eyeing more territory and they have justified it with proper historical president precedent

 Mr. Putin gave a long speech nearly one-hour speech in which he laid out the entire history of what happened he blamed Vladimir Lenin for the way the constitution was created and the way the powers were given to all the USSR republics. Russia has lamented the disintegration of the Soviet Union and the fact that NATO has been able to absorb numerous Russian neighbor republics into its orbit.

There was a signed or agreed upon deal between Russia and NATO that Ukraine, Belarus, and other countries would never be admitted to NATO, and that agreement is now on the verge of being broken, which is why all of this is occurring.

 

 

 

China angle

 

 

 

 

 

 

There are no real friends in geopolitics there  are just alliances that suit your  situation

 

 

 

 

when it comes to Russia in this whole situation, is it their own historical pride as the underlying force?

 

First, there is the historical grievance that the territory that has been historically Russia has been taken away from the Russians because of the weak leadership. Mr. Putin was laying out his vision and plans for Akhand Russia that’s essentially what he is seeking right so there is one thing

 

is it money as the underlying force?

 

Russians are attempting to reclaim their former status as a superpower; nevertheless, they have been devastated. Mr. Putin has first halted the bleeding, then resurrected Russia to a degree. Russia is still economically weak, but militarily powerful, which is where this partnership with China comes in.

 

 

China

 

China, the world's second-largest economy, is currently attempting to become a worldwide superpower. China is not a superpower in my opinion. A superpower is defined as a country that controls global systems, financial and economic systems. Chinese don't control the global systems they don't the global currency is still the US dollar the IMF the world bank

etc are all still controlled by the US. Even the UN to some extent is still controlled by the US.

 

With Russia when the time is right China will not want Russia to rise too much obviously

because that becomes a huge threat for him.

 

On the one hand, we have the dragon bear, which is Russia, and China; on the other hand, we have the US-led global system, in which India is still a large part of the quad and all those things, but we are also quite close to Russia; we are not close to China, of course, but we are kind of part of the Shanghai Agreement, Shanghai Cooperation organization, and the BRICS, so India is kind of in the middle. Our greatest threat is China; our greatest opportunity is the United States

 

India

 

India is currently engaged in a fascinating game. Mr. Putin announced everything, and the UN Security Council held a meeting where several nations criticised Russia's activities. India, however, declined to condemn Russia's actions.

 

India stated that all parties should avoid violence and strive to address the situation amicably and peacefully through dialogues and talks, among other things.

 

Think tanks, experts, and freelance minions of the US State Department are slamming India, but India isn't adhering to two principles: the sole principle in geopolitics is your own self-interest, and that's the only principle I'm going to follow.

 

 

Because when the Pakistanis were bleeding India sliced by sliced, did the Americans impose sanctions on them? No, they supported them. It was American money that was used to bleed India for decades.

 

 

When the 2008 Mumbai attacks occurred, did China condemn Pakistan? No, they did not impose sanctions on Pakistan. When the Chinese carried out the Galwan incident, in which Indian soldiers were killed, did the world condemn China? No, there were no sanctions imposed on China.

 

 So why does India need to take their side when the same thing is going on over there? India should adopt the same strategy of remaining neutral. This is not our war; I don't have a horse in this race, you guys take care of it; we will call for peace, calm, and negotiations rather than fighting; that's all we should say.

 

 
 USA Intrest

US interests in this whole game are it purely the fact that the dragon bear is getting more powerful is there even  deeper interests

As China rises, it seeks to displace and replace the United States, posing a fatal threat to Americans. The Blitzer doctrine is a theory in the United States. It's a little-known philosophy that states that every nation that climbs above a certain level must be eliminated. It also states that no nation should even consider becoming a threat or competitor to the US.

 

 

 

The Russians have risen again in the last 20 years after Mr Putin's rise, and they are a challenge to the United States because the United States wants to bring all of Europe under their control, including Ukraine and all of the former Soviet republics, and the Russians see this as a huge challenge and will not allow it. It is a red line that they will not allow the Americans or NATO to cross, so it's a challenge.

 

 The US today is a deeply divided nation; there is no leadership; there are all these internal conflicts raging in the US; the race conflict is raging; the class conflict is raging; the rich versus poor divide is widening; homelessness is rampant in the US; people are pooping on the streets; the US is declining like a roman empire.

 

They're attempting to put together the quad; they still have NATO, and they're furious that India, although being a member of the quad, isn't helping them when it comes to NATO.

 

 

 

Will World War three happen  ?

 

Other methods will be used to fight conflicts in the twenty-first century. There will be cyber warfare, information warfare, and disinformation warfare, among other things. A campaign of disinformation, War on social media propaganda, and high-level diplomacy Sanctions can be imposed on economies to destroy them, as the Americas have done to Iran and other nations such as Yemen, therefore these are the methods that governments want to use to wage wars.

Because everyone has a lot to lose, they don't want kinetic combat that causes destruction, so I don't see a large-scale wall war emerging unless someone makes a huge mistake and miscalculates.